Chinese experiment to tame wild home market
Bloomberg reported that Chinese President Mr Xi Jinping has unleashed the world's biggest experiment aimed at taming runaway property prices. After Xi used a milestone Communist Party Congress in October to push a housing model that emphasizes renting, a flurry of activity is underway by developers, banks, local governments and even the biggest stock exchange. The push is the first of a package of programs, including a long-awaited property tax, poised to unfold over several years to rein in one of the world's wildest real estate markets.
Mr Shen Jianguang, chief Asia economist at Mizuho Securities Asia in Hong Kong, said that "China's property market is on the brink of tremendous change. The push for rental properties shows a new model is starting to emerge."
Mr Xi is leveraging his immense power to try to solve a problem that's dogged policymakers around the globe: spiraling property prices in major metropolitan areas that have fueled rising inequality. The aim seems to be a new market model, somewhere between the capitalist frenzy that sent home prices in Shanghai and Beijing rocketing ever higher and the Communist system where dwellings were allocated by work units.
Establishing a vibrant rental market will help to defuse the risks from "irrational" home prices, said Deng Yongheng, of the University of Wisconsin, who helped carry out a study that showed a 1,538 percent gain in land prices in Beijing from 2004 to 2016. The long-term effects could range from driving consolidation among developers to fueling consumer spending as people pay less for housing, Wang Tao, an economist for UBS Group, wrote Thursday.
Around China, large rental complexes are being completed, under construction or in planning, and funding for such projects is being made available. The changes may alter developers' businesses, shake up government revenue and help make more Chinese citizens, like Germans, renters for life.
In theory, a thriving rental market would add housing supply and help stabilize prices after a 13-year property rally. The old model that prioritized home ownership encouraged "a lot of speculation and crazy price gains -- and that model is coming to an end," said Rosealea Yao, an analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics in Beijing.
City governments from Beijing to Shanghai have earmarked public land to auction to property companies that would develop rental projects only. Country Garden Holdings Co., China's largest developer by sales, has announced plans to make 1 million units available over three years. Banks are offering credit lines to developers for financing rental projects, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange is encouraging the creation of investment products backed by rental income.
Mr Xi is trying to alter the popular belief that property is a one-way bet, since any short-lived declines in prices have inevitably been followed by booms. Homeownership rates in China are among the highest in the world, at almost 90 percent, according to Cushman and Wakefield Inc. People also buy young. Parents often help their sons buy a place as a prerequisite for marriage.
Meanwhile, rentals have been a hard sell, in part because of limited tenant rights and the low quality of much of the stock, with some units even lacking their own bathrooms and kitchens.
Source : Bloomberg