State-by-state polling
The polling shows Trump’s support has slipped, at least at this early stage of the election year and before it is known who the Democratic nominee will be. Asked if the election “were held today," the unknown Democratic candidate led Trump:
47.5% to 34.1% in Wisconsin, with 18.4% undecided.
46.8% to 33.9% in Michigan, with 19.3% undecided.
47.1% to 37.3% in Pennsylvania, with 15.6% undecided.
44.3% to 39.4% in Ohio, with 16.3% undecided.
Yet large numbers of undecided leave ample room for Trump’s support to grow, said Lauren Copeland, associate director of the Community Research Institute at Baldwin Wallace University.
“It looks like the Democrats have this huge lead in all the states, including Ohio, but if you take into account the people who are undecided, the race is a tossup in all four states,” Copeland said.
(Ja, als alle 'undecided' kiezers naar trump gaan wel. Maar als het 50/50 wordt of 75/25, dan weer niet)