Quote vanaf een zeer gewaardeerd lid van het TMC forum die analyse doet van het aandeel zonder verdere adviezen:
"" Monday began with a hint of optimism as TSLA outperformed QQQ during the morning and into early afternoon. Part of that optimism was based upon optimistic remarks by a hedge fund manager appearing on CNBC who stated 10 year treasuries were about to level off their yields. The optimism lasted for a few hours. Alas, as QQQ began to slide after 1pm, TSLA joined the slide with a vengeance and closed down at more than a 2X multiple of the NASDAQ. Volume was a robust 50 million shares.
Consider that the alternative uptick rule was in effect today, due to Friday's greater than 10% dip. with TSLA still accelerating its afternoon dip to greater than 2X the NASDAQ's. Interestingly, TSLA's dip today wasn't too different than what you'd expect on a day with full short-selling capabilities intact. One conclusion could be that TSLA has now reached a low enough price point where it will outperform the NASDAQ and QQQ when given a neutral or better day, but if the NASDAQ begins a swan dive, TSLA is going to join it at an exaggerated multiple. I think we might see a gradual change in TSLA's strength vs. the NASDAQ's, which will slowly modify how the stock trades.
Stock futures are up in anticipation of the $1.9 trillion stimulus bill being passed in the House, so we very well could get a chance to see how TSLA performs with a positive market.
Cathie Wood (ARK invest) has been busy lately appearing on various TV and internet venues, and her optimism is apparent as she describes how expectations of growth in other areas of the economy was initially tough for her disruptive stocks in the Fall of 2016, but she expects tech stocks to bounce back after this sector rotation, just as they did in 2016. In her recent podcast, Cathie said that as algos pull money out of tech stocks and other high flyers, a favorite destination has been financial and energy stocks. These are the same sectors where she expects stranded assets due to disruption going forward. Thus, the seeds are being planted for a return to high flyers in good time.
Today I calculated just how far various stocks and indexes have fallen since their February highs. The Dow is actually up, setting a new record today, which is consistent with Cathie's statement that the stock rally is broadening out now. The NASDAQ is down about 11%, as is Amazon. Apple is down about 15%, and Nvidia has fallen about 24%. TSLA has managed to fall 35% and is rivaled primarily by the ARK funds and individual stocks contained within them. Since a Fibonacci retracement level of 38.2% isn't far away, let's see if TSLA and ARKK will find support from technically-oriented investment firms.
In recent big dips, I was able to do a fairly good job of guessing the bottom by looking for when various manipulation techniques began to fail. This dip is macro-oriented, however, and is quite a different kettle of fish. Nonetheless, I'm looking hard for changing behaviors in how TSLA is trading.""